The Wisdom of bayes:

The bees leave the flower stocks when they are empty, the tiger leaves a forest when there is no more forest- approximate Khmer proverb.

So I think in English there’s not really a good way to describe this idea. The general idea is about iteration, and also… Making decisions or doing things were changing your opinion, like bayes bayserian theory,  which means that like decisions are not like this finalized thing forever, but rather, to be able to constantly be in this flexible position in which the decisions that you’re always making ,,, is constantly dislike continuum, and also… Being able to pivot whenever, also based on random this chance, opportunity, luck, chaos?

Intelligent dancing and leveraging chaos

So bitcoin essentially hitting $120,000 a bitcoin,… Yeah I think all the rules are like officially out the window. There’s no putting the genie back into the bottle.

Essentially my insane grand optimism now is that like I guess the whole time I was a genius, at least or… Perhaps my conviction and insight was fully realized?

Being lucky

There might be this mis quoted quote from Seneca, luck is when chance meets opportunity.

Essentially the general idea is that like… I mean certainly nobody could predict the future with 1000% certain to you, at least in terms of timing. For example I think it’s pretty obvious now that bitcoin is gonna keep going up forever, but how quickly, the rate of adoption, Acceleration speed the velocity, these things are beyond my purview.

Also what kind of impressive I was thinking about it… Technically I’ve been into bitcoin even longer than Michael Saylor. I first bought bitcoin in 2017 when I was only $7000 of bitcoin, putting about $25,000 in my own money into it, which of the time was about 10% of my life savings, following NASSIM Taleb’s 90/10% rule –>

Better to put 10% of your life assets into a highly speculative vet, rather than putting 100% of your assets into a “middle risk“, thing.

So first and foremost, I am like forever grateful for Taleb. He also got me into one red Max lifting, in which I spent reality by lifting 552 kg, 7.6 X my body weight, at around 160 pounds, 72.5 kg body weight.